MLB Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s expert picks, odds, preview for Sunday, Oct. 20
Welcome to Opening Pitch, our daily column throughout the 2024 baseball season.
The goal for Opening Pitch is to highlight top daily projection edges for MLB moneylines and totals, share favorite bets, and provide some betting notes and analysis.
My projections for every MLB game on Sunday are available in the Action App (on both the PRO Projections tab and the game pages) and our Projections Hub.
You can also shop for the best lines on our MLB Odds page.
Here are my MLB predictions and expert picks and previews for Mets vs Dodgers on Sunday, Oct. 20.
MLB Predictions Sunday, Expert Picks, Odds, Preview Today, Oct. 20
MLB Futures Update and Championship Series Prices
- NLCS Projections:
- World Series Projections:
- Yankees: 52.2% (-109)
- Dodgers: 41.1% (+143)
- Mets: 6.7% (+1385)
The Yankees clinched the AL Pennant and advanced to the World Series.
I’d make their series with the Dodgers about a coin flip; the Yankees are the slightly better team, but the Dodgers would have home-field advantage. However, I’d set the Yankees closer to 64% favorites against their cross-town rivals.
I’d need +468 (17.6% implied) or better to play the Mets to win the final two games of the NLCS. Their best available price is around +400 (20% implied).
